Avai vs Cuiaba Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.63 expected goals for Avai and 1.30 for Cuiaba, a combined total of 1.93. That distribution gives Cuiaba the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.

Model pick

Cuiaba to Win

53.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

0.63 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Avai win18%

Draw29%

Cuiaba win53%

Double chance 1X

47%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%

Over 2.5 goals30%

Over 3.5 goals13%

Both teams to score34%

Correct score

0–119.0%
0–014.6%
0–212.3%
1–111.9%
1–09.1%

Why the model likes this

Cuiaba away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cuiaba to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 18% / 29% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.63 goals for Avai and 1.30 for Cuiaba, a combined 1.93 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% and both teams to score at 34%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 19%.

Recent form

Avai

Cuiaba

2026-08-15T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Ceara · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-09T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Fortaleza EC · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-27T22:30:00.000Z · A vs Sport Recife · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-23T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Goianiense · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-17T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Juventude · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.