Barnet vs Bromley Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Barnet and 1.18 for Bromley, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Barnet the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Barnet or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Barnet win44%

Draw26%

Bromley win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Bromley away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Barnet to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Barnet and 1.18 for Bromley, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Barnet

Bromley

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Barnsley · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Reading · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Barnet · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-31T18:30:00.000Z · H vs QPR · 0-7 (L)
2026-07-28T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Millwall · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · Barnet 1-1 Bromley (Friendlies Clubs)
2026-04-03T14:00:00.000Z · Barnet 2-2 Bromley (League Two)
2025-08-09T14:00:00.000Z · Barnet 0-2 Bromley (League Two)
2024-04-09T18:45:00.000Z · Barnet 1-1 Bromley (National League)
2024-03-09T15:00:00.000Z · Barnet 0-2 Bromley (FA Trophy)
2023-08-12T16:30:00.000Z · Barnet 2-0 Bromley (National League)
2023-04-07T14:00:00.000Z · Barnet 1-1 Bromley (National League)
2022-10-25T18:45:00.000Z · Barnet 3-1 Bromley (National League)
2022-05-15T14:00:00.000Z · Barnet 2-4 Bromley (National League)
2021-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · Barnet 0-2 Bromley (National League)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.