Portugal · Júniores U19 · Regular Season - 1215:00

60

Saturday, 2 May 2026

· Analysis updated 02:49 UTC

Benfica U19 vs Gil Vicente U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.67 expected goals for Benfica U19 and 0.68 for Gil Vicente U19, a combined total of 1.36. That distribution gives Gil Vicente U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 31%, with the draw at 39%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 16% for over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 26%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 31% favourite still loses or draws roughly 69% of the time.

Model pick

Benfica U19 or Draw

69.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.67 – 0.68

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Benfica U19 win30%
Draw39%
Gil Vicente U19 win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

61%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals39%
Over 2.5 goals16%
Over 3.5 goals5%
Both teams to score24%

Correct score

  • 0–025.8%
  • 0–117.6%
  • 1–017.4%
  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–26.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Benfica U19 home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates the draw the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 30% / 39% / 31% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.67 goals for Benfica U19 and 0.68 for Gil Vicente U19, a combined 1.36 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 16% and both teams to score at 24%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 26%.

Recent form

Benfica U19

  • 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Oriental U19 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Famalicão U19 · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs União Leiria U19 · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-05-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rio Ave U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Gil Vicente U19 · 6-0 (W)

Gil Vicente U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Júniores U19 table

    Full league page →

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.