BKV Előre Stadion · Analysis updated 03:30 UTC
BKV Előre vs Monori Se Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.49 expected goals for BKV Előre and 2.23 for Monori Se, a combined total of 3.72. That distribution gives Monori Se the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.
Model pick
Monori Se to Win
54.4% probability
Expected goals
1.49 – 2.23
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
46%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.0%
- 1–18.0%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–36.7%
- 0–26.0%
Why the model likes this
BKV Előre home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Monori Se away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Monori Se to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 25% / 20% / 54% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.49 goals for BKV Előre and 2.23 for Monori Se, a combined 3.72 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
BKV Előre
- 2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Gyulai Termál · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:30:00.000Z · A vs III. Kerületi TUE · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Újpest II · 0-6 (L)
- 2026-07-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszafuredi VSE · 4-5 (L)
- 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Monori Se · 2-1 (W)
Monori Se
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Szegedi VSE · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Dabas · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Csepel · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs ESMTK · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Budapest Honved · 0-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyulai Termál | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 |
| 2 | III. Kerületi TUE | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 |
| 3 | Szeged-Csanád II | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Szolnoki MAV FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Dabas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Csepel | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Újpest II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | ESMTK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Monori Se | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Sándorfalva | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 3 |
| 11 | Vasas II | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Bekescsaba 1912 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | Hódmezővásárhely | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 2 |
| 14 | Honvéd II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Szegedi VSE | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | BKV Előre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.