Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex · Analysis updated 01:52 UTC
Botev Plovdiv II vs Sozopol Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.16 expected goals for Botev Plovdiv II and 1.24 for Sozopol, a combined total of 3.39. That distribution gives Botev Plovdiv II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.
Model pick
Botev Plovdiv II to Win
58.4% probability
Expected goals
2.16 – 1.24
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.7%
- 1–19.0%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–07.3%
- 3–16.9%
Why the model likes this
Sozopol away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Botev Plovdiv II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 20% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.16 goals for Botev Plovdiv II and 1.24 for Sozopol, a combined 3.39 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 63%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Botev Plovdiv II
Sozopol
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Plovdiv · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-05-27T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Rakovski 2011 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sekirovo Rakovski · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sayana Haskovo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv II · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Third League - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodopa Smolyan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Sayana Haskovo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletik Kuklen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Botev Plovdiv II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Plovdiv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Levski Krumovgrad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Maritsa Milevo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rozova dolina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Yambol 1915 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Sozopol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Levski Karlovo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Gigant Saedinenie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Neftochimic Burgas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.