· Analysis updated 02:57 UTC
BVSC vs Soroksar Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.61 expected goals for BVSC and 1.19 for Soroksar, a combined total of 1.80. That distribution gives Soroksar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 27% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.
Model pick
Soroksar to Win
50.1% probability
Expected goals
0.61 – 1.19
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–119.7%
- 0–016.6%
- 1–112.0%
- 0–211.7%
- 1–010.1%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Soroksar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 19% / 31% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.61 goals for BVSC and 1.19 for Soroksar, a combined 1.80 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 27% and both teams to score at 32%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 20%.
Model confidence
Soroksar to Win is the headline pick at 50% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
BVSC
Soroksar
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soroksar | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Gyirmot SE | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Kazincbarcikai | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Kecskeméti TE | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Fehérvár FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Ajka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Tiszakecske FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Szentlőrinc SE | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Diosgyori VTK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Karcag SE | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Csakvar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Mezokovesd-zsory | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Nagykanizsai ULE | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Szeged 2011 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | BVSC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Kozarmisleny FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.