· Analysis updated 03:49 UTC
Cambuur vs Roda Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for Cambuur and 3.85 for Roda, a combined total of 6.20. That distribution gives Roda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 93% for over 2.5 goals and 87% for both teams to score, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 5%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws roughly 35% of the time.
Model pick
Roda to Win
64.9% probability
Expected goals
2.35 – 3.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
35%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–35.3%
- 2–45.1%
- 1–34.5%
- 1–44.4%
- 3–34.2%
Why the model likes this
Cambuur home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Roda to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 21% / 14% / 65% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.35 goals for Cambuur and 3.85 for Roda, a combined 6.20 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 93% and both teams to score at 87%, with 2–3 the single most likely scoreline at 5%.
Recent form
Cambuur
- 2026-08-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Excelsior · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-01T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Bologna · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-28T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Volos NFC · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-24T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Utrecht · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-10T09:30:00.000Z · H vs Roda · 2-1 (W)
Roda
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.