Concón National vs Colina Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Concón National and 0.91 for Colina, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Concón National the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Concón National to Win

49.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.45 – 0.91

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Concón National win50%

Draw27%

Colina win24%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals21%

Both teams to score46%

Correct score

1–013.8%
1–112.5%
2–010.0%
0–09.5%
2–19.0%

Why the model likes this

Concón National home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Concón National to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 27% / 24% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for Concón National and 0.91 for Colina, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

Concón National

2026-08-08T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Provincial Osorno · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-11T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Santiago City · 4-2 (W)
2026-07-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Municipal Salamanca · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-27T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Colina · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-07T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Real San Joaquín · 1-0 (W)

Colina

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Segunda División table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Provincial Osorno	12	6	6	0	10	24
2	Municipal Salamanca	12	5	7	0	6	22
3	Colchagua	12	6	4	2	4	22
4	Concón National	12	6	3	3	6	21
5	Santiago City	12	5	5	2	-1	20
6	Linares Unido	12	6	1	5	4	19
7	Trasandino	12	5	3	4	2	18
8	General Velásquez	12	5	1	6	-4	16
9	Real San Joaquín	12	3	4	5	-1	13
10	Lota Schwager	12	3	4	5	-2	13
11	Colina	12	3	3	6	1	12
12	Deportes Rengo	12	3	2	7	-7	11
13	Santiago Morning	12	2	4	6	-5	10
14	Provincial Ovalle	12	1	3	8	-13	6

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.