Corinthians W vs Ferroviaria W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.86 expected goals for Corinthians W and 0.96 for Ferroviaria W, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Corinthians W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.

Model pick

Corinthians W to Win

58.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.86 – 0.96

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Corinthians W win58%

Draw22%

Ferroviaria W win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score52%

Correct score

1–011.0%
1–110.6%
2–010.3%
2–19.9%
3–06.4%

Why the model likes this

Corinthians W home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Corinthians W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 22% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.86 goals for Corinthians W and 0.96 for Ferroviaria W, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 52%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Corinthians W

2026-08-09T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Santos W · 4-1 (W)
2026-08-03T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Flamengo W · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vitória BA W · 4-0 (W)
2026-05-26T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Mixto W · 4-1 (W)
2026-05-19T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Cruzeiro W · 2-3 (L)

Ferroviaria W

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Brasileiro Women table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians W	15	12	1	2	26	37
2	São Paulo W	15	11	2	2	15	35
3	Palmeiras W	15	9	5	1	18	32
4	Bahia W	15	8	3	4	9	27
5	Ferroviaria W	15	7	6	2	8	27
6	Fluminense W	16	7	4	5	4	25
7	Gremio W	16	7	3	6	6	24
8	Internacional RS W	15	7	3	5	3	24
9	Cruzeiro W	15	6	6	3	10	24
10	Flamengo W	15	6	6	3	5	24
11	RB Bragantino W	15	6	2	7	-1	20
12	Santos W	15	5	5	5	-1	20
13	Atlético Mineiro W	16	4	4	8	-5	16
14	Mixto W	15	2	6	7	-15	12
15	Juventude W	15	2	4	9	-10	10
16	America Mineiro W	16	1	4	11	-24	7
17	Vitória BA W	15	1	4	10	-25	7
18	Botafogo W	15	1	2	12	-23	5

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.