Brazil · Brasileiro Women · Regular Season - 1721:00

21:00 UTC

Saturday, 22 August 2026

Neo Quimica Arena · Analysis updated 23:44 UTC

Corinthians W vs Internacional RS W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.06 expected goals for Corinthians W and 0.86 for Internacional RS W, a combined total of 2.92. That distribution gives Corinthians W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws roughly 35% of the time.

Model pick

Corinthians W to Win

65.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.06 – 0.86

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Corinthians W win65%
Draw20%
Internacional RS W win15%

Double chance 1X

86%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

35%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 2–011.5%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.5%
  • 3–07.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Corinthians W home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Corinthians W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 20% / 15% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.06 goals for Corinthians W and 0.86 for Internacional RS W, a combined 2.92 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 50%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Corinthians W

  • 2026-08-09T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Santos W · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-03T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Flamengo W · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vitória BA W · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-26T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Mixto W · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-19T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Cruzeiro W · 2-3 (L)

Internacional RS W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Brasileiro Women table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Corinthians W1512122637
    2São Paulo W1511221535
    3Palmeiras W159511832
    4Bahia W15834927
    5Ferroviaria W15762827
    6Fluminense W16745425
    7Gremio W16736624
    8Internacional RS W15735324
    9Cruzeiro W156631024
    10Flamengo W15663524
    11RB Bragantino W15627-120
    12Santos W15555-120
    13Atlético Mineiro W16448-516
    14Mixto W15267-1512
    15Juventude W15249-1010
    16America Mineiro W161411-247
    17Vitória BA W151410-257
    18Botafogo W151212-235

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.