Corinthians W vs Santos W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.57 expected goals for Corinthians W and 0.89 for Santos W, a combined total of 3.46. That distribution gives Corinthians W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 74%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 74% favourite still loses or draws roughly 27% of the time.

Model pick

Corinthians W to Win

73.5% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.57 – 0.89

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Corinthians W win74%

Draw16%

Santos W win11%

Double chance 1X

89%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

27%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals67%

Over 3.5 goals45%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

2–010.4%
2–19.2%
3–08.9%
1–08.1%
3–17.9%

Why the model likes this

Corinthians W home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Corinthians W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 74%, against 74% / 16% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.57 goals for Corinthians W and 0.89 for Santos W, a combined 3.46 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 54%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Corinthians W

2026-08-09T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Santos W · 4-1 (W)
2026-08-03T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Flamengo W · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vitória BA W · 4-0 (W)
2026-05-26T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Mixto W · 4-1 (W)
2026-05-19T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Cruzeiro W · 2-3 (L)

Santos W

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Brasileiro Women table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians W	15	12	1	2	26	37
2	São Paulo W	15	11	2	2	15	35
3	Palmeiras W	15	9	5	1	18	32
4	Bahia W	15	8	3	4	9	27
5	Ferroviaria W	15	7	6	2	8	27
6	Fluminense W	16	7	4	5	4	25
7	Gremio W	16	7	3	6	6	24
8	Internacional RS W	15	7	3	5	3	24
9	Cruzeiro W	15	6	6	3	10	24
10	Flamengo W	15	6	6	3	5	24
11	RB Bragantino W	15	6	2	7	-1	20
12	Santos W	15	5	5	5	-1	20
13	Atlético Mineiro W	16	4	4	8	-5	16
14	Mixto W	15	2	6	7	-15	12
15	Juventude W	15	2	4	9	-10	10
16	America Mineiro W	16	1	4	11	-24	7
17	Vitória BA W	15	1	4	10	-25	7
18	Botafogo W	15	1	2	12	-23	5

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.