Cray Wanderers vs Welling United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.31 expected goals for Cray Wanderers and 1.31 for Welling United, a combined total of 3.63. That distribution gives Cray Wanderers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 70% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 40% of the time.

Model pick

Cray Wanderers to Win

59.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.31 – 1.31

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Cray Wanderers win60%

Draw19%

Welling United win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

40%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals70%

Over 3.5 goals49%

Both teams to score66%

Correct score

2–19.3%
1–18.1%
3–17.2%
2–07.1%
1–06.2%

Why the model likes this

Welling United away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cray Wanderers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 19% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.31 goals for Cray Wanderers and 1.31 for Welling United, a combined 3.63 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 70% and both teams to score at 66%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Cray Wanderers

Welling United

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stanway Rovers · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Leatherhead · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Whitehawk · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Folkestone Invicta · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-14T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Braintree · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Non League Premier - Isthmian table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Folkestone Invicta	42	29	9	4	62	96
2	Aveley	42	24	12	6	39	84
3	Billericay Town	42	24	10	8	33	82
4	Chatham Town	42	24	7	11	48	79
5	Brentwood Town	42	24	6	12	18	78
6	Dartford	42	20	12	10	26	72
7	Cray Wanderers	42	17	16	9	8	67
8	Burgess Hill Town	42	20	7	15	-5	67
9	Dulwich Hamlet	42	17	11	14	8	62
10	Ramsgate	42	15	12	15	5	57
11	St Albans City	42	16	8	18	12	56
12	Chichester City	42	14	13	15	-6	55
13	Cheshunt	42	12	14	16	-5	50
14	Whitehawk	42	12	13	17	-14	49
15	Welling United	42	15	3	24	-20	48
16	Wingate & Finchley	42	12	10	20	-12	46
17	Lewes	42	13	7	22	-36	46
18	Carshalton Athletic	42	10	14	18	-12	44
19	Cray Valley PM	42	11	9	22	-26	42
20	Hashtag United	42	11	9	22	-27	42
21	Potters Bar Town	42	9	3	30	-49	30
22	Canvey Island	42	6	9	27	-47	27

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.