Crystal Palace Training Ground · Analysis updated 23:01 UTC
Crystal Palace U18 vs Arsenal U18 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.24 expected goals for Crystal Palace U18 and 1.59 for Arsenal U18, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives Crystal Palace U18 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.
Model pick
Crystal Palace U18 to Win
52.6% probability
Expected goals
2.24 – 1.59
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
73%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.7%
- 1–17.7%
- 2–26.9%
- 3–16.5%
- 1–26.1%
Why the model likes this
Arsenal U18 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Crystal Palace U18 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 20% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.24 goals for Crystal Palace U18 and 1.59 for Arsenal U18, a combined 3.83 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% and both teams to score at 71%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Crystal Palace U18
Arsenal U18
- 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs West Bromwich Albion U18 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Crystal Palace U18 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-09T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Reading U18 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs West Ham United U18 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-02T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Leicester City U18 · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
U18 Premier League - South table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham Hotspur U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Fulham U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Southampton U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | AFC Bournemouth U18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Aston Villa U18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Arsenal U18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | West Bromwich Albion U18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brentford U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Birmingham City U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 12 | West Ham United U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | Ipswich Town U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Reading U18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.