Deportivo Cuenca vs Delfin SC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.00 for Delfin SC, a combined total of 2.45. That distribution gives Deportivo Cuenca the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 44% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

Deportivo Cuenca to Win

47.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Deportivo Cuenca win48%

Draw27%

Delfin SC win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Both teams to score48%

Correct score

1–012.5%
1–112.5%
2–09.1%
2–19.1%
0–08.6%

Why the model likes this

Delfin SC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Deportivo Cuenca to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 27% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.00 for Delfin SC, a combined 2.45 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 44% and both teams to score at 48%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Deportivo Cuenca

Delfin SC

2026-08-15T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Independiente del Valle · 2-3 (L)
2026-08-09T21:00:00.000Z · H vs Orense SC · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-04T00:00:00.000Z · A vs LDU de Quito · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-26T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Leones del Norte · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-21T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Libertad · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.