Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.45 for Kauno Žalgiris, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Dinamo Zagreb the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.

Model pick

Dinamo Zagreb or Draw

62.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Dinamo Zagreb win38%

Draw25%

Kauno Žalgiris win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals55%

Over 3.5 goals33%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–111.6%
1–28.4%
2–18.4%
0–18.0%
1–08.0%

Why the model likes this

Dinamo Zagreb home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kauno Žalgiris away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dinamo Zagreb to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 25% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.45 for Kauno Žalgiris, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Dinamo Zagreb

2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Rudes · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kauno Žalgiris · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Kauno Žalgiris · 5-0 (W)
2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · H vs NK Slaven Belupo · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Thun · 3-2 (W)

Kauno Žalgiris

2026-08-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Dinamo Zagreb · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Hegelmann Litauen · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Dinamo Zagreb · 0-5 (L)
2026-07-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs KI Klaksvik · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-21T18:45:00.000Z · A vs KI Klaksvik · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.