Donau vs Traiskirchen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.81 expected goals for Donau and 2.16 for Traiskirchen, a combined total of 3.97. That distribution gives Traiskirchen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

Traiskirchen to Win

46.6% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.81 – 2.16

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Donau win33%

Draw21%

Traiskirchen win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

67%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals76%

Over 3.5 goals56%

Both teams to score74%

Correct score

1–28.0%
1–17.4%
2–27.2%
2–16.7%
1–35.8%

Why the model likes this

Donau home form
4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Traiskirchen away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Traiskirchen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 33% / 21% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.81 goals for Donau and 2.16 for Traiskirchen, a combined 3.97 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Donau

2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Parndorf · 1-6 (L)
2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Krems / Rehberg · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-30T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Hellas Kagran · 2-3 (L)
2026-07-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs St. Pölten II · 2-2 (D)

Traiskirchen

2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Wienerberg · 4-3 (W)
2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Fach-Donaufeld · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Scheiblingkirchen · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-24T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Bleiburg · 4-0 (W)
2026-07-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Leithaprodersdorf · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - Ost table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Parndorf	32	18	8	6	24	62
2	Gloggnitz	32	18	8	6	13	62
3	Krems / Rehberg	32	17	7	8	28	58
4	Leobendorf	32	18	3	11	14	57
5	Oberwart	32	17	5	10	31	56
6	SV Horn	32	14	9	9	22	51
7	Traiskirchen	32	14	8	10	18	50
8	Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf	32	13	10	9	18	49
9	Fach-Donaufeld	32	13	8	11	7	47
10	Wiener SC	32	13	7	12	2	46
11	Wiener Viktoria	32	13	6	13	-1	45
12	Donau	32	12	8	12	-7	44
13	Favoritner AC	32	12	3	17	-8	39
14	Union Mauer	32	10	7	15	-15	37
15	Neusiedl	32	8	5	19	-26	29
16	Retz	32	4	8	20	-39	20
17	TWL Elektra	32	2	2	28	-81	8

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.