Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Púchov Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Dukla Banská Bystrica and 1.18 for Púchov, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Dukla Banská Bystrica the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Dukla Banská Bystrica or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Dukla Banská Bystrica win44%

Draw26%

Púchov win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Púchov away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dukla Banská Bystrica to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Dukla Banská Bystrica and 1.18 for Púchov, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Dukla Banská Bystrica

Púchov

2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nitra · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-18T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Prievidza · 2-2 (D)
2026-06-27T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Třinec · 2-3 (L)
2026-05-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Považská Bystrica · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Liptovský Mikuláš · 0-3 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-04-25T14:30:00.000Z · Dukla Banská Bystrica 0-0 Púchov (2. liga)
2025-10-21T14:30:00.000Z · Dukla Banská Bystrica 2-2 Púchov (Cup)
2025-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · Dukla Banská Bystrica 4-1 Púchov (2. liga)
2022-03-19T13:30:00.000Z · Dukla Banská Bystrica 4-1 Púchov (2. liga)
2021-08-28T14:30:00.000Z · Dukla Banská Bystrica 2-0 Púchov (2. liga)
2021-04-10T14:00:00.000Z · Dukla Banská Bystrica 4-1 Púchov (2. liga)
2020-09-23T13:30:00.000Z · Dukla Banská Bystrica 3-0 Púchov (2. liga)
2019-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · Dukla Banská Bystrica 2-1 Púchov (2. liga)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.