Eibar II vs Ebro Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Eibar II and 1.13 for Ebro, a combined total of 2.52. That distribution gives Eibar II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.

Model pick

Eibar II or Draw

69.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Eibar II win43%

Draw27%

Ebro win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals25%

Both teams to score51%

Correct score

1–112.6%
1–011.2%
0–19.0%
2–18.8%
0–08.0%

Why the model likes this

Ebro away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eibar II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 27% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Eibar II and 1.13 for Ebro, a combined 2.52 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Eibar II

Ebro

2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Huesca II · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-03T10:00:00.000Z · H vs UD Logroñés · 0-3 (L)
2026-04-26T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Utebo · 0-1 (L)
2026-04-18T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Eibar II · 2-1 (W)
2026-04-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Beasain · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.