· Analysis updated 02:49 UTC
Eik-Tønsberg vs Mjondalen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Eik-Tønsberg and 2.37 for Mjondalen, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Mjondalen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws roughly 35% of the time.
Model pick
Mjondalen to Win
65.1% probability
Expected goals
1.13 – 2.37
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
35%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
84%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.5%
- 1–18.1%
- 1–37.6%
- 0–17.2%
Why the model likes this
Eik-Tønsberg home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Mjondalen away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mjondalen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 17% / 18% / 65% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.13 goals for Eik-Tønsberg and 2.37 for Mjondalen, a combined 3.50 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Eik-Tønsberg
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mjondalen · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Træff · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vidar · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken · 5-6 (L)
- 2026-06-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Træff · 1-3 (L)
Mjondalen
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eik-Tønsberg · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kvik Halden · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Notodden · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brattvåg · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-06-27T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Bjarg · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jerv | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 35 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | Mjondalen | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Kvik Halden | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 30 |
| 5 | Notodden | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Træff | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Bjarg | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 25 |
| 8 | Sotra | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | Arendal | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 14 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -14 | 14 |
| 13 | Vidar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -30 | 6 |
| 14 | Eik-Tønsberg | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | -22 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.