Norway · 2. Division - Group 1 · Regular Season - 815:00

31

Saturday, 23 May 2026

VidarLLWLL

· Analysis updated 01:32 UTC

Eik-Tønsberg vs Vidar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.10 expected goals for Eik-Tønsberg and 1.37 for Vidar, a combined total of 3.47. That distribution gives Eik-Tønsberg the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

Eik-Tønsberg to Win

54.2% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.10 – 1.37

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Eik-Tønsberg win54%
Draw21%
Vidar win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score65%

Correct score

  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–19.0%
  • 2–06.9%
  • 3–16.6%
  • 1–06.6%

Why the model likes this

  • Vidar away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Eik-Tønsberg to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 21% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.10 goals for Eik-Tønsberg and 1.37 for Vidar, a combined 3.47 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 65%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Eik-Tønsberg

    Vidar

    • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Arendal · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs jerv · 0-4 (L)
    • 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eik-Tønsberg · 4-3 (W)
    • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Arendal · 0-4 (L)
    • 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Kvik Halden · 2-4 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    2. Division - Group 1 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1jerv1511221735
    2Brattvåg1610241632
    3Mjondalen1610241032
    4Kvik Halden16934930
    5Notodden16835827
    6Træff15744525
    7Bjarg15816325
    8Sotra157351524
    9Arendal16556-220
    10Pors Grenland15546-319
    11Sandviken15429-1214
    12Lysekloster16358-1414
    13Vidar161312-306
    14Eik-Tønsberg161114-224

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.