FC Winterthur vs Yverdon Sport Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for FC Winterthur and 1.18 for Yverdon Sport, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives FC Winterthur the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

FC Winterthur or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FC Winterthur win44%

Draw26%

Yverdon Sport win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

FC Winterthur home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FC Winterthur to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for FC Winterthur and 1.18 for Yverdon Sport, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

FC Winterthur

2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Zürich City · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-07T17:30:00.000Z · H vs FC WIL 1900 · 5-0 (W)
2026-07-31T18:15:00.000Z · A vs SC Kriens · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-24T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Yverdon Sport · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Berlin · 1-1 (D)

Yverdon Sport

Head-to-head

2026-07-24T18:15:00.000Z · FC Winterthur 2-2 Yverdon Sport (Challenge League)
2025-05-17T16:00:00.000Z · FC Winterthur 2-2 Yverdon Sport (Super League)
2025-03-08T17:00:00.000Z · FC Winterthur 1-2 Yverdon Sport (Super League)
2025-02-02T15:30:00.000Z · FC Winterthur 0-3 Yverdon Sport (Super League)
2024-08-04T14:30:00.000Z · FC Winterthur 0-0 Yverdon Sport (Super League)
2024-03-03T15:30:00.000Z · FC Winterthur 2-1 Yverdon Sport (Super League)
2023-10-28T16:00:00.000Z · FC Winterthur 1-1 Yverdon Sport (Super League)
2023-09-02T18:30:00.000Z · FC Winterthur 1-1 Yverdon Sport (Super League)
2022-04-24T14:30:00.000Z · FC Winterthur 2-2 Yverdon Sport (Challenge League)
2022-02-28T18:30:00.000Z · FC Winterthur 2-0 Yverdon Sport (Challenge League)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.