Serbia · Prva Liga · Regular Season - 318:00

01

Friday, 14 August 2026

GrafičarWLL

· Analysis updated 00:48 UTC

FK Vozdovac vs Grafičar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for FK Vozdovac and 0.96 for Grafičar, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives FK Vozdovac the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

FK Vozdovac to Win

46.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.39 – 0.96

Model version

poisson-market-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FK Vozdovac win47%
Draw27%
Grafičar win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

53%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams to score46%

Correct score

  • 1–013.3%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 2–09.2%
  • 0–19.2%

Why the model likes this

  • FK Vozdovac home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates FK Vozdovac to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 27% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.39 goals for FK Vozdovac and 0.96 for Grafičar, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Odds comparison

Indicative prices for the main markets.

MarketSelectionOddsBookmaker
Match ResultHome1.9510Bet
Match ResultDraw3.1010Bet
Match ResultAway3.5010Bet
GoalsOver 2.52.1010Bet
GoalsUnder 2.51.5710Bet
Double ChanceHome/Draw1.2010Bet
Double ChanceHome/Away1.2510Bet
Double ChanceDraw/Away1.7510Bet

Recent form

FK Vozdovac

  • 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Grafičar · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Borac Cacak · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dubočica · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Gaziantep FK · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladost DG · 3-3 (D)

Grafičar

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Prva Liga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Semendrija 1924330059
    2Napredak330039
    3TSC Backa Topola321027
    4Dubočica321027
    5FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV320136
    6Borac Cacak320116
    7OFK Vršac320116
    8Javor311134
    9Jedinstvo Ub310203
    10Grafičar3102-13
    11Metalac GM3102-23
    12Teleoptik3102-43
    13Loznica3021-12
    14Naftagas3012-21
    15FK Vozdovac3003-30
    16OFK Bor 19193003-70

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.