FTL UTD Stadium · Analysis updated 02:54 UTC
Fort Lauderdale United W vs Sporting JAX W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.97 expected goals for Fort Lauderdale United W and 2.27 for Sporting JAX W, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Sporting JAX W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws roughly 33% of the time.
Model pick
Sporting JAX W to Win
66.6% probability
Expected goals
0.97 – 2.27
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
33%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
85%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–210.0%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 1–18.6%
- 0–37.6%
Why the model likes this
Fort Lauderdale United W home form
3 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sporting JAX W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 15% / 19% / 67% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.97 goals for Fort Lauderdale United W and 2.27 for Sporting JAX W, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 56%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Fort Lauderdale United W
- 2026-05-17T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Dallas Trinity W · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-05-09T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Carolina Ascent W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-02T23:30:00.000Z · H vs Tampa Bay Sun W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-26T23:00:00.000Z · A vs Spokane Zephyr W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-22T23:00:00.000Z · A vs DC Power W · 0-4 (L)
Sporting JAX W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
USL Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carolina Ascent W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Brooklyn W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dallas Trinity W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Lexington W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | DC Power W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Sporting JAX W | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.