Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Goczałkowice Zdrój and 1.18 for Rekord Bielsko-Biała, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Goczałkowice Zdrój the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Goczałkowice Zdrój or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Goczałkowice Zdrój win44%

Draw26%

Rekord Bielsko-Biała win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Goczałkowice Zdrój home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Rekord Bielsko-Biała away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Goczałkowice Zdrój to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Goczałkowice Zdrój and 1.18 for Rekord Bielsko-Biała, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Goczałkowice Zdrój

2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ślęza Wrocław · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Brzeg · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiślanie Jaśkowice · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-18T08:45:00.000Z · H vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała · 0-0 (D)

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokół Kleczew · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-02T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Lechia Zielona Góra · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.