Argentina · Primera Nacional · Regular Season - 2219:30

21

Sunday, 26 July 2026

Estadio Feliciano Gambarte · Analysis updated 23:49 UTC

Godoy Cruz vs Central Norte Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Godoy Cruz and 0.72 for Central Norte, a combined total of 2.00. That distribution gives Godoy Cruz the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Godoy Cruz to Win

49.6% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.28 – 0.72

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Godoy Cruz win50%
Draw29%
Central Norte win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams to score37%

Correct score

  • 1–017.3%
  • 0–013.5%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 2–011.0%
  • 0–19.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Godoy Cruz home form

    12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Godoy Cruz to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 29% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.28 goals for Godoy Cruz and 0.72 for Central Norte, a combined 2.00 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% and both teams to score at 37%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.

Recent form

Godoy Cruz

  • 2026-08-09T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Chaco For Ever · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ferro Carril Oeste · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-26T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Central Norte · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-12T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Defensores De Belgrano · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-04T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Ciudad de Bolívar · 1-3 (L)

Central Norte

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.