Sweden · Damallsvenskan · Regular Season - 616:30
Häcken WWWWWW

42

Wednesday, 20 May 2026

Växjö WLWLWD

Nordic Wellness Arena · Referee S. Griberg · Analysis updated 01:55 UTC

Häcken W vs Växjö W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.50 expected goals for Häcken W and 0.87 for Växjö W, a combined total of 4.37. That distribution gives Häcken W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 85%, with the draw at 9%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 85% favourite still loses or draws roughly 15% of the time.

Model pick

Häcken W to Win

85.1% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

3.50 – 0.87

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Häcken W win85%
Draw9%
Växjö W win6%

Double chance 1X

95%

Double chance 12

91%

Double chance X2

15%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals80%
Over 3.5 goals63%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 3–09.0%
  • 4–07.9%
  • 3–17.9%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 4–16.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Häcken W home form

    12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Häcken W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 85%, against 85% / 9% / 6% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 3.50 goals for Häcken W and 0.87 for Växjö W, a combined 4.37 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 80% and both teams to score at 56%, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Häcken W

  • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brommapojkarna W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Piteå W · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilstuna United W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-06-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosengård W · 2-0 (W)

Växjö W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Damallsvenskan table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Häcken W1413013139
    2Hammarby W1311112534
    3Malmö FF W147431925
    4AIK W14734124
    5Eskilstuna United W14725-523
    6Vittsjö W14635021
    7Kristianstad W13535-318
    8Piteå W13436-515
    9Brommapojkarna W14509-1315
    10Växjö W14428-614
    11Djurgården W14428-614
    12Norrköping W13265-312
    13Rosengård W14248-510
    14Uppsala W141310-306

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.