Hammarby IP · Referee T. Olofsson · Analysis updated 02:57 UTC
Hammarby W vs Häcken W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Hammarby W and 1.21 for Häcken W, a combined total of 2.79. That distribution gives Hammarby W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.
Model pick
Hammarby W to Win
45.8% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.21
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.7%
- 0–17.5%
Why the model likes this
Hammarby W home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Häcken W away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hammarby W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 25% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Hammarby W and 1.21 for Häcken W, a combined 2.79 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Hammarby W
- 2026-08-08T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Juventus W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-08-05T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Apolonia Fier W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Norrköping W · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-06-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Piteå W · 1-1 (D)
Häcken W
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brommapojkarna W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Piteå W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilstuna United W · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-06-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-06-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosengård W · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Damallsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Häcken W | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 39 |
| 2 | Hammarby W | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 34 |
| 3 | Malmö FF W | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 25 |
| 4 | AIK W | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 24 |
| 5 | Eskilstuna United W | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Vittsjö W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | Kristianstad W | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 8 | Piteå W | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 | Brommapojkarna W | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | -13 | 15 |
| 10 | Växjö W | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 14 |
| 11 | Djurgården W | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 | Norrköping W | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Rosengård W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Uppsala W | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -30 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.