Hoek vs Kozakken Boys Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Hoek and 1.25 for Kozakken Boys, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Hoek the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.

Model pick

Hoek to Win

48.0% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hoek win48%

Draw24%

Kozakken Boys win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

1–111.1%
2–19.5%
1–08.9%
2–07.6%
1–27.0%

Why the model likes this

Hoek home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hoek to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 24% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.70 goals for Hoek and 1.25 for Kozakken Boys, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Hoek

2026-08-15T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Koninklijke HFC · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs NAC Breda · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · A vs De Treffers · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-16T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Rijnsburgse Boys · 2-0 (W)
2026-05-09T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Barendrecht · 2-4 (L)

Kozakken Boys

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Tweede Divisie table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Quick Boys	34	19	10	5	34	66
2	De Treffers	34	18	9	7	27	63
3	Hoek	34	19	6	9	23	63
4	Rijnsburgse Boys	34	16	8	10	21	56
5	HHC	34	17	5	12	14	56
6	Spakenburg	34	16	8	10	12	56
7	Katwijk	34	15	7	12	5	52
8	Almere City II	34	15	5	14	8	50
9	Kozakken Boys	34	13	8	13	-8	47
10	Sparta Rotterdam II	34	12	9	13	-2	45
11	AFC Amsterdam	34	12	9	13	-8	45
12	Barendrecht	34	13	4	17	-22	43
13	RKAV Volendam	34	13	3	18	-12	42
14	GVVV Veenendaal	34	12	6	16	-15	42
15	Koninklijke HFC	34	12	3	19	-16	39
16	Ijsselmeervogels	34	9	4	21	-19	31
17	Excelsior Maassluis	34	8	7	19	-19	31
18	ACV	34	7	9	18	-23	30

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.