Brazil · Paranaense - 3 · Regular Season - 118:30

11

Sunday, 26 July 2026

IratyLLWD

· Analysis updated 03:36 UTC

Hope Internacional vs Iraty Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Hope Internacional and 0.81 for Iraty, a combined total of 1.91. That distribution gives Hope Internacional the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Hope Internacional or Draw

73.2% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.10 – 0.81

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hope Internacional win42%
Draw31%
Iraty win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams to score37%

Correct score

  • 1–016.3%
  • 0–014.9%
  • 1–113.2%
  • 0–112.1%
  • 2–08.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Hope Internacional home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hope Internacional to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 31% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.10 goals for Hope Internacional and 0.81 for Iraty, a combined 1.91 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% and both teams to score at 37%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Recent form

Hope Internacional

  • 2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Samas · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T18:30:00.000Z · A vs AA Iguaçu · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-26T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Iraty · 1-1 (D)
  • 2025-10-05T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Iraty · 0-1 (L)
  • 2025-10-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Araucária · 0-2 (L)

Iraty

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Paranaense - 3 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1City London430159
    2AA Iguaçu330049
    3Portuguesa Londrinense4202-26
    4União PR211014
    5Hope Internacional311104
    6Iraty4112-14
    7PSTC Procopense4112-14
    8Cambé4112-24
    9Oeste Brasil210113
    10Samas4103-33
    11Campo Mourão2011-21

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.