Brazil · Paranaense - 3 · Regular Season - 618:30
IratyLWD

18:30 UTC

Saturday, 29 August 2026

· Analysis updated 02:48 UTC

Iraty vs Hope Internacional Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.87 expected goals for Iraty and 0.71 for Hope Internacional, a combined total of 1.58. That distribution gives Iraty the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 35%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 21% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws roughly 63% of the time.

Model pick

Iraty or Draw

72.2% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.87 – 0.71

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Iraty win37%
Draw35%
Hope Internacional win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

65%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals47%
Over 2.5 goals21%
Over 3.5 goals8%
Both teams to score30%

Correct score

  • 0–020.5%
  • 1–017.8%
  • 0–114.7%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 2–07.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Hope Internacional away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Iraty to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 35% / 28% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.87 goals for Iraty and 0.71 for Hope Internacional, a combined 1.58 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 21% and both teams to score at 30%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%.

Recent form

Iraty

    Hope Internacional

    • 2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Samas · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-02T18:30:00.000Z · A vs AA Iguaçu · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-26T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Iraty · 1-1 (D)
    • 2025-10-05T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Iraty · 0-1 (L)
    • 2025-10-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Araucária · 0-2 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Paranaense - 3 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1City London330069
    2AA Iguaçu330049
    3União PR211014
    4Hope Internacional311104
    5Iraty311104
    6Oeste Brasil210113
    7PSTC Procopense3102-13
    8Cambé3102-23
    9Portuguesa Londrinense3102-33
    10Campo Mourão2011-21
    11Samas3003-40

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.