Istres vs Saint-Priest Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.70 expected goals for Istres and 1.13 for Saint-Priest, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Istres the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.

Model pick

Istres to Win

50.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.70 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Istres win51%

Draw24%

Saint-Priest win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–111.3%
1–010.1%
2–19.6%
2–08.6%
0–16.7%

Why the model likes this

Istres home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Istres to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 24% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.70 goals for Istres and 1.13 for Saint-Priest, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Istres

2026-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Chasselay MDA · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Nimes · 0-3 (L)
2026-05-01T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Creteil · 0-0 (D)
2026-04-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Grasse · 2-2 (D)
2026-04-17T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Bobigny · 1-0 (W)

Saint-Priest

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.