Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · Regular Season - 2922:00
ItuzaingóDLDDL

01

Friday, 7 August 2026

Estadio Carlos Sacaan · Analysis updated 01:54 UTC

Ituzaingó vs Deportivo Camioneros Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.51 expected goals for Ituzaingó and 1.57 for Deportivo Camioneros, a combined total of 2.08. That distribution gives Deportivo Camioneros the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws roughly 36% of the time.

Model pick

Deportivo Camioneros to Win

63.7% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.51 – 1.57

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ituzaingó win12%
Draw25%
Deportivo Camioneros win64%

Double chance 1X

36%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

88%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams to score32%

Correct score

  • 0–119.7%
  • 0–215.5%
  • 0–012.5%
  • 1–110.0%
  • 0–38.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Ituzaingó home form

    2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Deportivo Camioneros to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 12% / 25% / 64% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.51 goals for Ituzaingó and 1.57 for Deportivo Camioneros, a combined 2.08 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 34% and both teams to score at 32%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 20%.

Recent form

Ituzaingó

  • 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Argentino de Merlo · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-07T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Camioneros · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Talleres Remedios · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Sportivo Italiano · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo Laferrere · 0-2 (L)

Deportivo Camioneros

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Primera B Metropolitana table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Excursionistas3016862256
    2Talleres Remedios3016861856
    3Deportivo Camioneros30151051755
    4Villa Dalmine30151051755
    5Arsenal Sarandi30141151753
    6Sportivo Italiano30141061452
    7Real Pilar301299245
    8Deportivo Laferrere3011910-342
    9Deportivo Armenio2911810-141
    10Comunicaciones30101010240
    11Argentino de Merlo3010911039
    12Deportivo Merlo3091110-1238
    13San Martín Burzaco308139-237
    14Dock Sud3081210136
    15Argentino Quilmes297139-334
    16Liniers2971111-832
    17Brown DE Adrogue3071013-1231
    18Villa San Carlos2961112-729
    19Flandria307815-1329
    20UAI Urquiza293188-1027
    21Defensores Unidos2951113-1126
    22Ituzaingó3011019-2813

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.