· Analysis updated 00:47 UTC
JDFS Alberts vs Super Nova 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.28 expected goals for JDFS Alberts and 1.48 for Super Nova 2, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives JDFS Alberts the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.
Model pick
JDFS Alberts to Win
55.6% probability
Expected goals
2.28 – 1.48
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
44%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.0%
- 1–17.9%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–26.6%
- 2–06.1%
Why the model likes this
Super Nova 2 away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates JDFS Alberts to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 20% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.28 goals for JDFS Alberts and 1.48 for Super Nova 2, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 69%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
JDFS Alberts
Super Nova 2
- 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Mārupe · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs JFK Ventspils · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Riga Mariners · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs JDFS Alberts · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-19T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Riga FC II · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.