Juve Stabia vs Frosinone Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.96 expected goals for Juve Stabia and 1.65 for Frosinone, a combined total of 2.61. That distribution gives Frosinone the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.

Model pick

Frosinone to Win

53.4% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

0.96 – 1.65

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Juve Stabia win22%

Draw25%

Frosinone win53%

Double chance 1X

47%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

78%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Both teams to score50%

Correct score

0–112.1%
1–111.7%
0–210.0%
1–29.6%
0–07.4%

Why the model likes this

Juve Stabia home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Frosinone to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 22% / 25% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.96 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.65 for Frosinone, a combined 2.61 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 50%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Juve Stabia

2026-08-06T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Cavese · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-31T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Ischia · 5-1 (W)
2026-07-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Potenza · 4-0 (W)
2026-05-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Monza · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Monza · 2-2 (D)

Frosinone

2026-08-09T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Lazio · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-01T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Benevento · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Sambenedettese · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-26T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Ascoli · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-22T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Frosinone U20 · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.