Markku.fi Areena · Referee K. Nummela · Analysis updated 01:52 UTC
KäPa vs SJK Akatemia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.29 expected goals for KäPa and 0.75 for SJK Akatemia, a combined total of 2.04. That distribution gives KäPa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws roughly 51% of the time.
Model pick
KäPa to Win
49.3% probability
Expected goals
1.29 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
51%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–016.8%
- 0–013.0%
- 1–112.6%
- 2–010.8%
- 0–19.8%
Why the model likes this
KäPa home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates KäPa to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 29% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.29 goals for KäPa and 0.75 for SJK Akatemia, a combined 2.04 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 33% and both teams to score at 38%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.
Recent form
KäPa
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kooteepee · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs EIF · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs MP · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 0-2 (L)
SJK Akatemia
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkösliiga table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.