Finland · Ykkösliiga · Group Stage16:00
Klubi-04DLLLW

22

Friday, 17 July 2026

HakaWWWWD

Bolt Arena · Referee J. Vuorinen · Analysis updated 22:58 UTC

Klubi-04 vs Haka Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.87 expected goals for Klubi-04 and 1.73 for Haka, a combined total of 2.60. That distribution gives Haka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 48% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.

Model pick

Haka to Win

57.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.87 – 1.73

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Klubi-04 win19%
Draw24%
Haka win58%

Double chance 1X

42%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

81%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams to score48%

Correct score

  • 0–112.8%
  • 1–111.2%
  • 0–211.1%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–07.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Klubi-04 home form

    4 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Haka to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 19% / 24% / 58% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.87 goals for Klubi-04 and 1.73 for Haka, a combined 2.60 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 48%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Klubi-04

  • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kooteepee · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-31T15:30:00.000Z · A vs EIF · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs KäPa · 2-0 (W)

Haka

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Ykkösliiga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Kooteepee1913331342
    2PK-351911531738
    3Haka1911441837
    4JIPPO19874831
    5JäPS19919-828
    6EIF18729-623
    7MP18639-521
    8KäPa194411-1216
    9Klubi-04192710-913
    10SJK Akatemia192611-1612

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.