Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium · Referee A. Karaoglan · Analysis updated 03:48 UTC
Konyaspor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.24 expected goals for Konyaspor and 1.04 for Fenerbahçe, a combined total of 2.29. That distribution gives Konyaspor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.
Model pick
Konyaspor or Draw
69.1% probability
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.04
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.6%
- 0–110.6%
- 0–010.1%
- 2–18.2%
Why the model likes this
Konyaspor home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Konyaspor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 28% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.24 goals for Konyaspor and 1.04 for Fenerbahçe, a combined 2.29 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 40% and both teams to score at 46%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Recent form
Konyaspor
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rizespor · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Al-Dhafra · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Hull City · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-18T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Zalaegerszegi TE · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-15T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Zorya Luhansk · 2-1 (W)
Fenerbahçe
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Rizespor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Çorum FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Gaziantep FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Kasımpaşa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Konyaspor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.