Legia Warszawa II vs Widzew II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Legia Warszawa II and 1.18 for Widzew II, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Legia Warszawa II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Legia Warszawa II or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Legia Warszawa II win44%

Draw26%

Widzew II win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Legia Warszawa II home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Legia Warszawa II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Legia Warszawa II and 1.18 for Widzew II, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Legia Warszawa II

2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Świt Skolwin · 5-0 (W)
2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Znicz Pruszków · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unia Skierniewice · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Radomiak Radom · 1-2 (L)

Widzew II

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

III Liga - Group 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Unia Skierniewice	34	23	5	6	51	74
2	Legia Warszawa II	34	21	7	6	36	70
3	Łomża	34	18	10	6	30	64
4	Warta Sieradz	34	16	7	11	4	55
5	Wigry Suwałki	34	13	9	12	8	48
6	Jagiellonia II	34	13	8	13	5	47
7	Swit	34	13	8	13	-11	47
8	Lechia T. Mazowiecki	34	13	7	14	-7	46
9	Broń Radom	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	Bełchatów	34	12	10	12	0	46
11	Mławianka Mława	34	12	8	14	5	44
12	Wisła Płock II	34	11	10	13	-4	43
13	Wikielec	34	10	12	12	-6	42
14	Stomil Olsztyn	34	11	9	14	-12	42
15	Victoria Sulejówek	34	11	8	15	-7	41
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	34	9	14	11	-14	41
17	Pelikan Łowicz	34	9	6	19	-24	33
18	Sokół Aleksandrów	34	2	6	26	-46	12

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.