· Analysis updated 02:25 UTC
Linero vs Karlshamn Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.64 expected goals for Linero and 1.02 for Karlshamn, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives Linero the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws roughly 28% of the time.
Model pick
Linero to Win
71.9% probability
Expected goals
2.64 – 1.02
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
28%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.2%
- 2–09.0%
- 3–18.0%
- 3–07.9%
- 1–16.9%
Why the model likes this
Karlshamn away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Linero to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 16% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.64 goals for Linero and 1.02 for Karlshamn, a combined 3.65 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 59%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
Recent form
Linero
Karlshamn
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs IFK Trelleborg · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Oskarshamns AIK · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Räppe · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-06-28T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Linero · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlskrona · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Division 2 - Södra Götaland table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karlskrona | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 39 |
| 2 | Oskarshamns AIK | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 30 |
| 3 | Berga | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 | IFK Trelleborg | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Nosaby | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Linero | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Österlen | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 24 |
| 8 | Växjö Norra | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Lilla Torg | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -9 | 19 |
| 10 | Staffanstorp United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Torns | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | -21 | 18 |
| 12 | Sölvesborg | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Räppe | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -14 | 13 |
| 14 | Karlshamn | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | -24 | 8 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.