Stadion FK Metalac · Analysis updated 23:56 UTC
Metalac GM vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Metalac GM and 2.14 for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, a combined total of 3.91. That distribution gives FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.
Model pick
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV to Win
46.7% probability
Expected goals
1.78 – 2.14
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.1%
- 1–17.6%
- 2–27.2%
- 2–16.7%
- 1–35.8%
Why the model likes this
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 33% / 21% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.78 goals for Metalac GM and 2.14 for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, a combined 3.91 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 73%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Metalac GM
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
- 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Teleoptik · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Metalac GM · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs OFK Bor 1919 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-05-24T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Radnicki NIS · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-05-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prva Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Semendrija 1924 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Napredak | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Dubočica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Borac Cacak | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | OFK Vršac | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Javor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | TSC Backa Topola | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Jedinstvo Ub | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Grafičar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Metalac GM | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 | Teleoptik | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Loznica | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Naftagas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | FK Vozdovac | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.