Middelfart vs Brabrand Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Middelfart and 1.18 for Brabrand, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Middelfart the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Middelfart or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Middelfart win44%

Draw26%

Brabrand win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Middelfart home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Brabrand away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Recent form

Middelfart

2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Roskilde · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-07T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Brabrand · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Bredballe · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Thisted FC · 4-1 (W)
2026-07-25T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Næsby · 1-0 (W)

Brabrand

2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Naestved · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-07T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Middelfart · 0-4 (L)
2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Aarhus Black Vipers · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Skive · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Thisted FC · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-07T16:30:00.000Z · Middelfart 4-0 Brabrand (2. Division)
2026-07-14T16:00:00.000Z · Middelfart 3-0 Brabrand (Friendlies Clubs)
2024-03-16T13:00:00.000Z · Middelfart 1-1 Brabrand (2. Division)
2024-02-03T10:00:00.000Z · Middelfart 0-0 Brabrand (Friendlies Clubs)
2023-09-09T12:00:00.000Z · Middelfart 1-0 Brabrand (2. Division)
2021-10-30T12:00:00.000Z · Middelfart 1-1 Brabrand (2. Division)
2021-08-18T16:30:00.000Z · Middelfart 3-3 Brabrand (2. Division)
2021-04-05T12:00:00.000Z · Middelfart 2-1 Brabrand (2nd Division - Group 1)
2020-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · Middelfart 2-0 Brabrand (2nd Division - Group 1)
2019-10-19T12:00:00.000Z · Middelfart 0-2 Brabrand (2nd Division - Group 2)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.