Consto Arena · Analysis updated 01:51 UTC
Mjondalen vs Bjarg Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Mjondalen and 1.32 for Bjarg, a combined total of 3.32. That distribution gives Mjondalen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 47% of the time.
Model pick
Mjondalen to Win
53.1% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.32
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.6%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–07.2%
- 3–16.3%
Why the model likes this
Mjondalen home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mjondalen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 22% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Mjondalen and 1.32 for Bjarg, a combined 3.32 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Mjondalen
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eik-Tønsberg · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kvik Halden · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Notodden · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brattvåg · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-06-27T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Bjarg · 1-0 (W)
Bjarg
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jerv | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 35 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | Mjondalen | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Kvik Halden | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 30 |
| 5 | Notodden | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Træff | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Bjarg | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 25 |
| 8 | Sotra | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | Arendal | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 14 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -14 | 14 |
| 13 | Vidar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -30 | 6 |
| 14 | Eik-Tønsberg | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | -22 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.