Nacka Iliria vs Haninge Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.51 expected goals for Nacka Iliria and 2.44 for Haninge, a combined total of 3.95. That distribution gives Haninge the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.

Model pick

Haninge to Win

58.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.51 – 2.44

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Nacka Iliria win23%

Draw19%

Haninge win58%

Double chance 1X

42%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

77%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals75%

Over 3.5 goals56%

Both teams to score71%

Correct score

1–28.7%
1–17.1%
1–37.1%
2–26.5%
0–25.8%

Why the model likes this

Haninge away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Haninge to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 23% / 19% / 58% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.51 goals for Nacka Iliria and 2.44 for Haninge, a combined 3.95 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 71%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Nacka Iliria

Haninge

2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karlslund · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Farsta · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Fittja · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Arlanda · 1-6 (L)
2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sleipner · 6-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division 2 - Södra Svealand table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Forward	16	10	3	3	12	33
2	Nyköping	17	10	2	5	12	32
3	Haninge	17	10	2	5	9	32
4	Sleipner	17	9	4	4	2	31
5	Farsta	17	9	3	5	16	30
6	Smedby	17	9	3	5	11	30
7	Rågsved	16	7	5	4	8	26
8	Fittja	16	7	2	7	-1	23
9	Örebro Syrianska	16	5	2	9	-2	17
10	Lindo FF	17	5	2	10	-4	17
11	Karlslund	17	4	5	8	-7	17
12	Syrianska FC	16	4	3	9	-13	15
13	Eker Örebro	17	4	2	11	-27	14
14	Nacka Iliria	16	3	2	11	-16	11

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.