Sweden · Damallsvenskan · Regular Season - 613:00

30

Sunday, 17 May 2026

Norrkopings Idrottspark · Referee E. Svardsudd · Analysis updated 01:51 UTC

Norrköping W vs Brommapojkarna W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.79 expected goals for Norrköping W and 1.09 for Brommapojkarna W, a combined total of 2.88. That distribution gives Norrköping W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

Norrköping W to Win

53.7% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.09

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Norrköping W win54%
Draw23%
Brommapojkarna W win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.0%
  • 0–16.1%

Why the model likes this

  • Norrköping W home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Brommapojkarna W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Norrköping W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 23% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.79 goals for Norrköping W and 1.09 for Brommapojkarna W, a combined 2.88 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Norrköping W

  • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hammarby W · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-06-24T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Vittsjö W · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Växjö W · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-06-13T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Rosengård W · 1-1 (D)

Brommapojkarna W

  • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Häcken W · 0-6 (L)
  • 2026-08-07T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AIK W · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Djurgården W · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-06-24T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Växjö W · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-06-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vittsjö W · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Damallsvenskan table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Häcken W1413013139
2Hammarby W1311112534
3Malmö FF W147431925
4AIK W14734124
5Eskilstuna United W14725-523
6Vittsjö W14635021
7Kristianstad W13535-318
8Piteå W13436-515
9Brommapojkarna W14509-1315
10Växjö W14428-614
11Djurgården W14428-614
12Norrköping W13265-312
13Rosengård W14248-510
14Uppsala W141310-306

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.