Olympiakos Piraeus vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1.25 for Fortuna Sittard, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Fortuna Sittard the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Fortuna Sittard or Draw

70.5% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Olympiakos Piraeus win30%

Draw29%

Fortuna Sittard win42%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%

Over 2.5 goals39%

Over 3.5 goals19%

Both teams to score45%

Correct score

0–113.2%
1–113.2%
0–010.5%
1–010.5%
0–28.2%

Why the model likes this

Fortuna Sittard away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fortuna Sittard to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 30% / 29% / 42% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.00 goals for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1.25 for Fortuna Sittard, a combined 2.25 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 45%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Olympiakos Piraeus

Fortuna Sittard

2026-08-15T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Cambuur · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs PSV Eindhoven · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Apoel Nicosia · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Metz · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-17T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Olympiakos Piraeus · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.