Perutz-stadion · Analysis updated 00:48 UTC
Pápai Perutz vs SC Sopron Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.37 expected goals for Pápai Perutz and 1.50 for SC Sopron, a combined total of 2.87. That distribution gives SC Sopron the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.
Model pick
SC Sopron or Draw
65.4% probability
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
65%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.7%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–18.0%
- 1–07.8%
Why the model likes this
SC Sopron away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates SC Sopron to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 35% / 25% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.37 goals for Pápai Perutz and 1.50 for SC Sopron, a combined 2.87 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Pápai Perutz
SC Sopron
- 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatabánya · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Gyori ETO II · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Bicskei · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-07-26T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Szombathelyi Haladas · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gyori ETO II · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Northwest table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MTE 1904 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Komárom | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Haladás VSE | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 4 | SC Sopron | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Dorogi FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 |
| 6 | Tatabánya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Sárisápi Bányász | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 8 | Veszprém | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Pápai Perutz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 | Király SZE | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Gyori ETO II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Bicskei | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Zalaegerszegi TE II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Puskás II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | Szombathelyi Haladas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | 1908 SZAC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Balatonalmádi | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.