Markku.fi Areena · Referee J. Kontinen · Analysis updated 23:44 UTC
PK-35 vs KäPa Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.24 expected goals for PK-35 and 0.68 for KäPa, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives PK-35 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws roughly 27% of the time.
Model pick
PK-35 to Win
72.8% probability
Expected goals
2.24 – 0.68
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
27%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–013.5%
- 1–012.0%
- 3–010.1%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–18.2%
Why the model likes this
KäPa away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates PK-35 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 17% / 10% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.24 goals for PK-35 and 0.68 for KäPa, a combined 2.93 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 44%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Recent form
PK-35
KäPa
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kooteepee · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs EIF · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs MP · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkösliiga table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.