Plzen vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.93 expected goals for Plzen and 1.82 for Zbrojovka Brno, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Plzen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Plzen or Draw

62.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.93 – 1.82

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Plzen win41%

Draw21%

Zbrojovka Brno win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score72%

Correct score

1–18.3%
2–18.0%
1–27.5%
2–27.3%
3–15.1%

Why the model likes this

Plzen home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Plzen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 21% / 37% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.93 goals for Plzen and 1.82 for Zbrojovka Brno, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 72%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Plzen

2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Zlin · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice · 5-5 (D)
2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Zbrojovka Brno · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-14T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Polessya · 2-0 (W)

Zbrojovka Brno

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.