Norway · 2. Division - Group 1 · Regular Season - 1112:00

20

Saturday, 20 June 2026

Pors Stadion · Analysis updated 04:38 UTC

Pors Grenland vs Eik-Tønsberg Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.99 expected goals for Pors Grenland and 0.97 for Eik-Tønsberg, a combined total of 2.96. That distribution gives Pors Grenland the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws roughly 39% of the time.

Model pick

Pors Grenland to Win

61.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.99 – 0.97

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Pors Grenland win61%
Draw21%
Eik-Tønsberg win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

39%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 3–06.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Eik-Tønsberg away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Pors Grenland to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 21% / 18% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.99 goals for Pors Grenland and 0.97 for Eik-Tønsberg, a combined 2.96 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Pors Grenland

    Eik-Tønsberg

    • 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mjondalen · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Træff · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vidar · 3-4 (L)
    • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken · 5-6 (L)
    • 2026-06-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Træff · 1-3 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    2. Division - Group 1 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1jerv1511221735
    2Brattvåg1610241632
    3Mjondalen1610241032
    4Kvik Halden16934930
    5Notodden16835827
    6Træff15744525
    7Bjarg15816325
    8Sotra157351524
    9Arendal16556-220
    10Pors Grenland15546-319
    11Sandviken15429-1214
    12Lysekloster16358-1414
    13Vidar161312-306
    14Eik-Tønsberg161114-224

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.