Mestský štadión · Analysis updated 01:53 UTC
Púchov vs Zlaté Moravce Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.57 expected goals for Púchov and 1.65 for Zlaté Moravce, a combined total of 3.22. That distribution gives Zlaté Moravce the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.
Model pick
Zlaté Moravce or Draw
63.2% probability
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.1%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.6%
Why the model likes this
Púchov home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Zlaté Moravce to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 37% / 23% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.57 goals for Púchov and 1.65 for Zlaté Moravce, a combined 3.22 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Púchov
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nitra · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-18T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Prievidza · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-06-27T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Třinec · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Považská Bystrica · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-05-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Liptovský Mikuláš · 0-3 (L)
Zlaté Moravce
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petržalka | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Šamorín | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liptovský Mikuláš | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 |
| 4 | Pohronie | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tatran Prešov | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Žilina II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Inter Bratislava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Považská Bystrica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 10 | Zlaté Moravce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Malženice | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Humenné | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Lokomotíva Zvolen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Galanta | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -8 | 1 |
| 15 | Slovan Bratislava II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | MFK Bytča | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -14 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.